"Wonder" BOX OFFICE

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"Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Sat Oct 07, 2017 12:52 pm

Long Range Forecast: ‘Justice League,’ ‘The Star,’ & ‘Wonder’

The fifth installment of Warner Bros.’ DC Extended Universe serves as the natural highlight among this week’s latest additions to the Long Range Forecast. Justice League won’t fly solo when debuts on November 17, though, as The Star and Wonder are also set to open that weekend in hopes of counter-programming against the superhero tentpole.

PROS:

Justice League (Warner Bros.) will unite key heroes from the DC universe with the promise of Batman, Wonder Woman, The Flash, Aquaman, Cyborg, and (presumably) Superman joining forces in their first film as a collective group. The previous DC universe films have generated major financial success thus far, although only Wonder Woman has enjoyed both box office supremacy and critical + audience adoration. The latter’s goodwill — on top of the fact that Batman is still one of the most bankable icons in film history — could allow some audiences to give League the benefit of the doubt. Fans are also very curious about what kind of influence Joss Whedon (The Avengers) will have had on the finished product since Zack Snyder stepped down during production following a family tragedy.

The Star (Sony / Columbia) will serve as this holiday season’s Christmas-centric animation with an eye toward faith-based audiences and families with young children. Having five days to itself before Pixar’s Coco opens will help it get a head start for what should be a leggy run through November and December.

Wonder (Lionsgate) should find a strong female audience on opening weekend as the film aims to parlay Raquel J. Palacio’s beloved 2012 dramatic children’s novel into cinematic success. Initial social media buzz is very encouraging as the film boasts over 234,000 Facebook fans before marketing has truly kicked in. This could be a sleeper to keep an eye on, especially if awards buzz follows.

CONS:

It’s no secret that Batman v Superman was received poorly by many fans, and that will be Justice League‘s biggest obstacle to overcome as the spiritual sequel to that film. In addition, opening in the third weekend of Marvel’s Thor: Ragnarok could present even more challenges since this is the shortest competitive window in which DC and Marvel tentpoles have attempted to compete within against each another. As such, reviews and early fan reactions will be crucial to Justice League‘s long term prospects.

The Star will ultimately be relying on word of mouth to manufacture a solid holiday run, something that could be moderately challenging with Coco opening five days later. Awareness is fairly low at this stage with little activity across Facebook and Twitter. As such, we’re expecting a run more in line with the likes of Arthur Christmas and Happy Feet Two at this time and some modest ability to co-exist with the Pixar film.

Wonder hasn’t generated much buzz among Twitter users recently, but that could easily change when marketing ramps up in early November.



11/17/2017
Wonder
$16,000,000
$60,000,000

http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-for ... ar-wonder/

lol julia's presence is not even mentioned among the "pros"...
do you think this prediction could be accurate? 60 millions would be good i think.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby swamer on Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:58 pm

60 is very good. I don't want my expectations to be that high. 45-50 is very decent.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby mcv on Sat Oct 07, 2017 5:58 pm

i don't think it's a movie that will open well.
what i'm hoping for is legs.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Sat Oct 07, 2017 7:24 pm

yes, i don't think it's a family movie people will want to watch on thanksgive honestly... i think many teachers will bring their students to watch it between thanksgiving and xmas.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Tue Nov 07, 2017 3:53 pm

at boxoffice pro they downsized the projections for wonder (12 millions less than 2 weeks ago)


11/17/2017
Wonder $14,000,000 -13%
$48,000,000 -13%
2,500

http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-for ... t-showman/

it's not showing in many theatres and the web activities are probably slower than expected... i hope it can reach 50 millions.
what's the budget for it?
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby mcv on Tue Nov 14, 2017 5:45 pm

Wonder has entered the daily top 5 at http://MovieTickets.com with 7.0% of daily sales.
BoxOfficeReport.com‏
@BORReport
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby swamer on Tue Nov 14, 2017 6:02 pm

Is 7% a good sign?
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Tue Nov 14, 2017 8:14 pm

Also looking strong this weekend is the big-screen adaptation of the popular middle-grade best-seller, “Wonder,” outpacing previous adaptations, “Diary of a Wimpy Kid” and “Middle School,” at the same point in the Fandango sales cycle.

Based on a Fandango survey of more than 1,000 “Wonder” fans:

96% are looking forward to more positive and empowering family movies.
93% are fans of Julia Roberts.
92% of the book’s readers have recommended it to others.


http://pro.boxoffice.com/fandango-justi ... o-healthy/
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:52 pm

Wonder (Lionsgate)

In the winter of 2009, John Lee Hancock’s The Blind Side aptly blind-sided everybody and made a gigantic $255.96 million domestically off a $34.12m debut. And if there’s a movie trying harder to replicate that success than Stephen Chbosky’s Wonder, it’s damn hard to find.

Granted, trying for the next The Blind Side is far from a bad thing. Messages of kindness are welcome and advocating diversity is timely. Reception for Wonder has been positive, carrying a 76% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes (avg. critic score being 6.7/10 from >20 reviews). Wonder won’t put up Blind Side numbers, though. That’s not a knock against the movie; the marketplace is fierce, with this weekend alone debuting two other movies that will compete for all quadrants. Not helping matters is that Disney/Pixar are prepping their own message of kindness and diversity in Coco, which opens next week with acclaim in its corner.

Julia Roberts and Owen Wilson, neither of whom hold much star power these days, headline Wonder. Having recognizable faces certainly works in the film’s favour, but it’s lacking awards buzz for any of their performances (and lacking awards buzz in general). Wonder cost a responsible $20m to produce, and by all means it should do fine. Hell, Wonder has a shot at being a modest sleeper hit. It just won’t be a smash, is all.

Prediction: $9 million, #6 rank

https://culturedvultures.com/weekend-bo ... blast-off/

9 millions would be very disappointing. i hope it can reach at least 12-14...
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby mcv on Thu Nov 16, 2017 4:23 pm

i'd hoped it would have decent legs and a good opening number but i guess it's not such a good counter programming thing. they keep doing this with julia's movies. they'd open against a behemoth and wish for the best but it never works out the way they planned it.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby berlioz on Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:14 pm

boxoffice pro now predicts 17 for wonder

http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-foreca ... ar-wonder/

but hollywood reporter predicts 9 millions

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-v ... ut-1058821
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby OrientExpress on Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:22 am

'Justice League' is Coming Together for $110+ Million Opening While 'Wonder' Looks to Surprise

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4345&p=.htm

This weekend Marvel's latest hit Thor: Ragnarok is looking to top $250 million after 17 days in release while Warner Bros. and DC Comics unveil their latest entry into the DC Extended Universe, Justice League looking to make a splash globally, though it's not the only new release the weekend has to offer. Lionsgate will debut the highly anticipated adaptation Wonder while Sony is debuting their faith-based animated title The Star. All-in-all we should be looking at a strong weekend in which the top twelve should combine for over $200 million for the first time since early July.

In third we're expecting a strong debut for Lionsgate's Wonder, Stephen Chbosky's adaptation of the #1 New York Times bestseller by R.J. Palacio. Chbosky last directed the adaptation of his own novel, The Perks of Being a Wallflower, to strong reviews and a score of 67 on Metacritic. Wonder is enjoying similar reviews, currently holding a score of 64 on Metacritic, and IMDb page view performance has been solid, over indexing compared to titles within a similar genre. Given traditional tracking methods are suggesting an opening around $9 million, our $16 million opening weekend forecast seems a little risky, but some of the numbers we've crunched suggest that might even be conservative. Fact of the matter is, should this one land with audiences it should play well not only this weekend but throughout the holiday season.

Depending on how Wonder ultimately performs, we could be looking at a log jam around the third, fourth and fifth slots at this weekend's box office. Last weekend's two new releases, Murder on the Orient Express and Daddy's Home 2, should both bring in around $15-16 million this weekend, both pushing their domestic cumes over $50 million after ten days in release.

Just outside the top five we have Sony and Affirm's animated release, The Star featuring the voices of Steven Yeun, Zachary Levi, Gina Rodriguez, Aidy Bryant, Keegan-Michael Key, Tracy Morgan, Tyler Perry and Oprah Winfrey. The faith-based feature is opening in 2,837 locations and the studio is anticipating an opening around $7 million, but just like Wonder we're seeing data that suggests a debut that could hit double digits. IMDb page view data shows it easily out pacing Norm of the North ($6.8m opening) leading up to release and even hanging tough with Smurfs: The Lost Village, which opened with $13.2 million earlier this year from 3,610 theaters. While The Star isn't opening quite that wide, it is opening in 426 more theaters than Norm of the North and while our forecast calls for a $8 million opening, we feel there's an outside chance it could reach double digits.



Justice League (4,051 theaters) - $118.0 M
Thor: Ragnarok (4,080 theaters) - $26.3 M
Wonder (3,096 theaters) - $16.1 M
Murder on the Orient Express (3,354 theaters) - $16.0 M
Daddy's Home 2 (3,575 theaters) - $15.5 M
The Star (2,837 theaters) - $8.1 M
A Bad Moms Christmas (2,948 theaters) - $5.9 M
Lady Bird (238 theaters) - $1.9 M
Jigsaw (1,201 theaters) - $1.4 M
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (053 theaters) - $1.0 M
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby swamer on Fri Nov 17, 2017 6:02 pm

EXCLUSIVE: Despite a behemoth like Warner Bros./DC’s Justice League in the marketplace this weekend, which is poised to make north of $110M, many are betting that Lionsgate’s Wonder overperforms.

Even though it chalked up a $740K Thursday night preview from 7PM showtimes, there’s been a huge amount of advance group sales, fueled by Lionsgate’s outreach to schools. Fandango reports that Wonder is today’s No. 2 ticket-seller for today and the weekend, behind Justice League and beating Disney/Marvel’s Thor: Ragnarok. In advance ticket sales, Wonder is beating Captain Underpants ($23.9M FSS), Middle School ($6.9M FSS) as well as all the Wimpy Kids movies at the same point in their Fandango cycle (2011’s Rodrick Rules posted the best opening in the Wimpy Kid franchise with $23.8M).

Essentially, we hear 50% of the advance ticket sales are for today, which puts Wonder around $12M at this minute over three days. But it could very well grow. Reviews are at 84% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, and the Thanksgiving multiplier could be big. Stay tuned. Last week, tracking had Wonder at $9M, but more aggressive projections grew it to $14M. In a Fandango survey, 89% of 1,000 moviegoers said that the R.J. Palacio book had a significant impact on them, while 93% of are looking for more diverse, life-affirming messages in family films. Ninety-two percent are concerned about bullying at schools.

Directed by Stephen Chbosky, and starring Julia Roberts and Owen Wilson, Wonder tells the story of young August Pullman. Born with facial differences that prevented him from attending mainstream school, he becomes the most unlikely of heroes when he enters the local fifth grade. Made for $20M, Wonder has three financing partners: Participant Media, Walden Media and TIK Films in China.

http://deadline.com/2017/11/julia-rober ... 202210740/
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby OrientExpress on Sat Nov 18, 2017 7:47 am

Wonder makes BO wonder^^

http://deadline.com/2017/11/justice-lea ... 202211094/

Lionsgate’s Wonder is truly the wonder of the weekend, besting its $9M-$14M tracking with $27.3M industry estimated weekend after a $9.4M Friday. Fandango called this one: They saw the exorbitant pre-sales from school groups and knew Lionsgate had something special here. Wonder earns an amazing A+ tonight (and we know how rare those are in CinemaScore) with a 70% female audience and 65% over the age of 25. Made for a reported production cost in the low $20M, financed by Lionsgate, Participant Media, Walden Media and TIK Films in China, this Stephen Chbosky-directed movie is looking to be the sleeper of the holiday season.

Entertainment social media analytics firm RelishMix is impressed by the 101M-plus social media universe built up for Wonder across Twitter, YouTube views, Instagram and Facebook. Overall, the conversation was positive, spurred by fans of the book. “The movie is speaking to parents who have children with any number of physical and/or developmental challenges…There is a lot of heartfelt discussion of how the video materials have been speaking to families and it’s legitimately touching,” reports RelishMix.
“Those who have read it and school children who are currently reading it are all looking forward to seeing the film version. In fact, many school kids are excitedly sharing that their class is going to see Wonder as a field trip,” adds RelishMix.
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Re: "Wonder" BOX OFFICE

Postby mcv on Sat Nov 18, 2017 8:21 am

it got an A+ cinemascore. wow.

so happy that mother! got an F and julia's movie has A+

victory over jlaw!!!

i really hope it ends up making more than 100 million dollars domestic-wise and that someone, anyone, gets nominated for an oscar.

ugh i wish it got some film festival action.

haha
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